We're down to only two weekends of college football, but there are still plenty of things that can happen. Even if all of the favorites were to win out, the BCS picture is still hazy for the moment. Obviously, USC and Texas would meet in the Rose Bowl; LSU would represent the SEC in the Sugar Bowl; Virginia Tech would represent the ACC in the Orange Bowl; West Virginia would receive an automatic berth for winning the Big East. But who receives the two at-large berths?

Scenario 1: Assuming Notre Dame beats Stanford this Saturday in Palo Alto, it's safe to assume that the Irish would get one at-large berth. Selecting the other at-large team could get tricky, as there are two teams that are both very deserving—Oregon and Ohio State. Both teams have already finished their seasons. Oregon finished 10-1, their only loss coming against #1 USC, 45-13. Ohio State finished 9-2, with their losses coming against #2 Texas, 25-22, and #4 Penn State, 17-10.

So which team is more deserving? There seems to be no consensus among the experts. ESPN's Ivan Maisel and Pat Forde and College Football Blog's very own Gerry Meskill are all picking Ohio State as the second at-large team. On the other hand, CBS SportsLine and SI.com's Stewart Mandel are both picking Oregon.

The decision may come down to whom the Fiesta Bowl selects with its first pick. Again assuming there are no more upsets for the remainder of the season, the Fiesta Bowl would get to select first among the other three BCS games and would likely take either Penn State or Notre Dame. The Orange Bowl would then likely select whomever the Fiesta Bowl does not take. So a Notre Dame - Penn State BCS matchup, as sexy as it would be, seems to be an impossibility, and will have to wait until Sept. 9, 2006, when the two teams will meet in Notre Dame Stadium.

If the Fiesta Bowl wants Penn State, then Oregon would be a lock as their opponent. They wouldn't want to stage a Penn State - Ohio State rematch featuring two Big Ten teams. If they take Notre Dame, however, either Oregon or Ohio State would be a good matchup for the Irish.

So which is it? Penn State - Oregon, Notre Dame - Oregon, or Notre Dame - Ohio State? If I had to guess, I'd say Notre Dame - Oregon. The Ducks have a better record than the Bucks and I doubt the Fiesta Bowl committee would be too thrilled about having Ohio State compete in their bowl game for the second consecutive year and the third time in four years. Eventually, enough is enough. So, assuming no more upsets, my BCS projections are as follows:

Rose Bowl: USC vs. Texas
Orange Bowl: Penn State vs. Virginia Tech
Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Oregon

In my opinion, this would be the teams that are selected by the BCS bowl game committees. I'm wondering, however, whether or not these pairings would be adjusted by a clause included at the end of the selection order guidelines. The clause states:

The pairings established by this selection process may be adjusted by the conference and institutions participating in the BCS, in consultation with the BCS bowls and ABC, in the interest of creating the most exciting and competitive post season matchups possible.

Could this be the ticket to a dream matchup between Notre Dame and Penn State in either the Fiesta Bowl or the Orange Bowl? That would leave us with an Oregon - Virginia Tech matchup or could possibly open the door up for an Ohio State - Virginia Tech matchup in the Orange Bowl. The bottom line is nothing is set in stone, even if there are no more upsets for the rest of the year.

So what about the possibility of upsets then? Things could get quite chaotic in a hurry if, say, UCLA were to beat USC and/or Texas were to fall to either Texas A&M or their Big 12 Championship Game opponent. Below are some other possible scenarios:

Scenario 2: UCLA beats USC and everything else goes according to plan. USC would still get an automatic BCS berth by winning the Pac-10 championship. UCLA would likely get an at-large berth and both Oregon and Ohio State would be squeezed out. In this scenario:

Rose Bowl: Texas vs. Penn State
Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. USC
Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame vs. UCLA

Of course the problem with this scenario is that it puts USC in the Orange Bowl for the second year in a row and the third time in four years. You can't put them in them in the Fiesta Bowl vs. Notre Dame because that would be a rematch. Another option would be to move USC to the Sugar Bowl against West Virginia and have Virginia Tech play LSU in the Orange Bowl.

Scenario 3: Texas A&M beats Texas and everything else goes according to plan. Texas would still get an automatic berth for winning the Big 12 championship. The Orange Bowl would select first, not the Fiesta Bowl. In this scenario:

Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Orange Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Virginia Tech
Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Oregon

This scenario benefits Oregon greatly. It almost assures them an at-large spot because the Fiesta Bowl would not want to feature a Texas - Ohio State rematch.

Scenario 4: Texas loses the Big 12 Championship Game and everything else goes according to plan. Let's assume Colorado is the Big 12 winner in this scenario. Colorado would get the automatic bid but Texas would likely still get an at-large spot. Again, the Orange Bowl would select first in this scenario:

Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Orange Bowl: Texas vs. Virginia Tech
Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Colorado

Scenario 5: Texas loses their final two games and everything else goes according to plan. Again, let's assume Colorado is the Big 12 champ. In this scenario, Texas would be out of luck and we'd likely get a rematch of the 2002 Fiesta Bowl:

Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Orange Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Virginia Tech
Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: Colorado vs. Oregon

Scenario 6: All hell breaks loose. USC and Texas both lose one game. Texas loses to Colorado in the Big 12 Championship Game. The situation gets ugly in a hurry, especially if you're a UCLA fan. USC would still get an automatic berth and UCLA would likely be on the outside looking in, despite having beaten USC and finishing with the same number of losses. The Sugar Bowl would select first after losing LSU to the Rose Bowl. Here it is:

Rose Bowl: Penn State vs. LSU
Orange Bowl: Texas vs. Virginia Tech
Sugar Bowl: Notre Dame vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: USC vs. Colorado

Scenario 6b: Of course, if UCLA were to beat USC on the final week of the season and assuming Texas had lost to Colorado, UCLA, at 10-1, just might find their way to that #1 or #2 spot as an at-large team. It's not unreasonable to assume considering they would have slayed the giant. Then we would see:

Rose Bowl: Penn State vs. UCLA
Orange Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Virginia Tech
Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: USC vs. Colorado

Scenario 7: USC loses once. Texas loses twice. Assume UCLA is not ranked #1 or #2. (If they were, look at scenario 6b.) Here we go:

Rose Bowl: Penn State vs. LSU
Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. UCLA
Sugar Bowl: Notre Dame vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: USC vs. Colorado

So there you have it. That's quite the list of scenarios. And that's only scratching the surface of what could possibly transpire over the next 12 days. And in fact, it's only my best guess as to what would happen. If you have some other thoughts, feel free to share them.